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CALL FOR ABSTRACTS: DEADLINE SEPTEMBER 28, 2018

A rapidly expanding set of activities is extending and applying the new framework on integrated climate change scenarios. Researchers are using Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs), and other approaches to characterizing future societal and environmental conditions to investigate global change issues, including the Sustainable Development Goals. The Scenarios Forum aims to bring together a diverse set of communities working with the new framework to share their experiences, progress, and plans. By taking stock of progress and facilitating scenario-related research, this meeting will inform the use of scenarios in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) and help ensure a research base sufficient to inform future assessments and policy initiatives.

CALL FOR ABSTRACTS

The Scenarios Forum welcomes abstracts for oral or poster presentations on a wide range of topics related to sustainability, including but not limited to climate change. Abstracts may be submitted to one of the 40 sessions that have been proposed by the community, or to an Open category. Abstracts submitted to the Open category will receive equal attention and those accepted will be assigned to new or existing sessions. The combined breadth of topics covered by the specific sessions and Open category can address issues related to application of scenarios to particular research, policy, or assessment domains; development of scenario information; climate and socio-economic information for use in scenarios; assessments of scenario (and other) approaches; or other topics (see About page). Participation by a range of research communities is desired, including (but not limited to) sustainability science, climate change impacts/adaptation/vulnerability, climate science and modeling, integrated assessment modeling, biodiversity, futures studies, risk management, governance, and other areas of social science. Work that is relevant to multiple research communities is of particular interest.
Acceptance of an abstract will ensure participation in the meeting, which might otherwise be limited if necessary due to space constraints. Registration will be required for all participants. We anticipate that there will be a registration fee of $100, waived for participants from developing countries. 

PROPOSED SESSIONS

Forty sessions (listed at the bottom of this page) have been proposed by the research community. These sessions will become part of the Forum agenda, contingent on a sufficient number of high quality abstracts. Additional sessions will be created from the abstracts submitted to the Open category. The Forum will include two types of sessions: research and workshop.

Research sessions will typically include 4-5 presentations (~20 minutes per speaker) of new scenario-related research relevant to the proposed session topic, and a related poster session. Session organizers will select presenters and posters, a session chair (who may be the organizer), and define the schedule for the session. Research sessions have a maximum of two presentations that may be invited.

Workshop sessions will address a key question(s) identified by the organizer, primarily through discussion, and will also accept related poster submissions. A workshop session will typically include a panel, and one or more brief presentations for setting context. The majority of the session would be reserved for discussion among the audience and panel members. Typically a maximum of two presentations may be invited and the rest selected from submitted abstracts, which should propose a set of brief (~5 minute) comments addressing the session questions. In some cases there may be a larger number of invited presentations.

CRITERIA

Abstracts will be judged on relevance to the session topic (or to the Forum areas of interest), relevance to the development or application of scenarios, quality, and potential for bridging research communities. The SSC will also be advising session organizers on the contributions of abstracts to a balance across multiple topic areas and disciplines.

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LIST OF PROPOSED SESSIONS

1. New nitrogen scenarios using the SSPs |  Organizers: David Kanter, Wilfried Winiwarter  |  RESEARCH

2. Identifying and building on synergies across international scenario communities: examples from the Intergovernmental Panel on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES)  |  Organizer: Mark Rounsevell  |  RESEARCH

3. Urban futures under the new scenario framework  |  Organizers: Guillaume Rohat, Felix Creutzig  |  RESEARCH

4. Deconstructing demographic futures: population dynamics in the Shared-Socioeconomic Pathways  |  Organizers: Deborah Balk, Christina Bradatan, Susana Adamo, Landy Sanchez  |  RESEARCH

5. Climate-induced migration: applications and enhancements of the SSP framework |  Organizers: Bryan Jones, Jacob Schewe  |  RESEARCH

7. Inequality and poverty, projections and distributional consequences for climate  |  Organizers: Narasimha Rao, Julie Rozenberg, Franziska Piontek  |  RESEARCH

8. Scenarios of future Loss and Damage - Attributable Climate Change, Adaptation Capacity, and Residual Risks  |  Organizers: Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Friederike Otto, Raya Muttarak  |  RESEARCH

9. Scenarios for assessing human vulnerability to extreme events and climate change at the local and regional level  |  Organizers: Joern Birkmann, Matthias Garschagen  |  RESEARCH

10. Cost of climate change impact and the use of scenarios  |  Organizers: Shinichiro Fujimori, Juan-Carlos Ciscar  |  RESEARCH

11. The costs of extreme weather events in RCP-SSP future pathways – From individual damages to effects on national GDP |  Organizers: Katja Frieler, Christian Otto, Matthias Kalkuhl  |  RESEARCH

12. AgMIP Scenario Approaches and Stakeholder Engagement across Disciplines and Scales  |  Organizers: Cynthia Rosenzweig, Keith Wiebe  |  RESEARCH

13. Scenarios for the Future Ocean  |  Organizers: Tyler Eddy, Jörn Schmidt, Alan Haynie, John Pinnegar  |  RESEARCH

14. Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability research  |  Organizers: Lena Reimann, Athanasios Vafeidis, Bryan Jones  |  RESEARCH

15. Scenarios for addressing high-impact, low-probability extreme events |  Organizers: Jana Sillman, Sonia Seneviratne, Xuebin Zhang   |  RESEARCH

16. Shaping the SSP storylines in economy-wide models  |  Organizers: Bert Saveyn, Rob Dellink,  Dominique van der Mensbrugghe |  RESEARCH

17. Scenarios as service  |  Organizers: Robert Lempert, Henrik Carlsen, Celine Guivarch  |  RESEARCH

18. Improving the SSPs to assess the Sustainable Development Goals  |  Organizers: Keywan Riahi, Detlef van Vuuren, Steve Hedden  |  WORKSHOP

19. Scientific assessment of scenario-based research  |  Organizer: Vanessa Schweizer  |  RESEARCH

20. Use of scenarios in IPCC’s 6th assessment cycle (AR6)  |  Organizers: Jan Fuglestvedt, Ramon Pichs-Madruga  |  WORKSHOP

21. Developing the SSPs: Taking Stock of Successes, Areas to Improve for the Future  |  Organizers: Eric Kemp-Benedict, Jon Lamontagne  |  WORKSHOP

22. Using the SSPs for research, assessment, and decision-making  |  Organizer: Kristie Ebi  |  WORKSHOP

23. Scenario communication, co-production and visualization  |  Organizers: Kasper Kok, Elmar Kriegler  |  RESEARCH + WORKSHOP

24. Use of scenarios for assessing climate-related financial risk and opportunity  |  Organizers: Seth Montieth, Chris Weber  |  RESEARCH + WORKSHOP

25. Challenges to informing decisions with climate risk scenarios  |  Organizers: Fred Lipschultz |  RESEARCH

26. Downscaling and enriching the RCP-SSP scenario framework as a basis for co-creating integrated and transformative solutions to high-end climate change  |  Organizer: Paula Harrison, Timothy Carter  |  RESEARCH

27. Extending the SSPs across space and time: Multi-scale scenario development practices  |  Organizers: Kasper Kok, Benjamin Preston  |  RESEARCH

28. Sub-national scenarios for integrated modeling and analyses  |  Organizer: Gokul Iyer |  RESEARCH

29. Results from CMIP6 ScenarioMIP and other MIPs building on its experiments  |  Organizers: Claudia Tebaldi, Jason Lowe, Pierre Friedlingstein  |  RESEARCH

30. Being Cognizant of the Framing of Solar Geoengineering in Scenario Design  |  Organizers: Masa Sugiyama, Peter Irvine, Ben Kravitz  |  RESEARCH

31. Climate change scenarios in CORDEX domains  |  Organizers: Tereza Cavazos, Cecilia Conde  |  RESEARCH

32. The role of short-lived climate forcers in future scenarios  |  Organizers: Jan Fuglestvedt, Detlef van Vuuren  |  RESEARCH

33. Use of the SSP-RCP scenario framework in climate impact analysis, including avoided impacts  |  Organizers: Brian O’Neill, Timothy R. Carter, Kristie Ebi  |  RESEARCH

34. Scenarios for tracking progress in international climate policy  |  Organizer: Joeri Rogelj  |  RESEARCH

35. Renewable-based electrification: how can we improve scenarios for clean energy transition?  |  Organizers: Dolf Gielen,  Jeffrey Logan   |  WORKSHOP

36. Overshoot scenarios for Paris Agreement temperature targets: an interdisciplinary perspective  |  Organizers: Katsumasa Tanaka, Johannes Bednar, Oliver Geden, Daniel Johansson, Michael Obersteiner, Kiyoshi Takahashi  |  RESEARCH

37. What is a “good” energy scenario (or not) for use in decision making for climate change mitigation?  |  Organizers: Claire Copeland, Chris Dent, Mark O’Malley  |  RESEARCH

38. Socio-technical transition dynamics in scenarios for climate change mitigation and sustainable development: Where next?  |  Organizers: Evelina Trutnevyte, Nico Bauer, Detlef van Vuuren  |  WORKSHOP

39. Using a scenario approach to reshape the debate on global infrastructure investment needs |  Organizers: Julie Rozenberg, Marianne Fay |  RESEARCH

40. Governance in futures scenarios: Where do we stand?  |  Organizers: Julia Leininger, Detlef van Vuuren  |  RESEARCH + WORKSHOP