POSTER PRESENTATIONS

PARALLEL SESSION #1

SSPs - I  - Improving the SSPs to assess the Sustainable Development Goals

Potential Positive Feedback from Space Technology to influence SSPs on the way to Realize SDGs: An Example of SDG #4 in South Asian Context
Kavya Kamepalli

GOOD ENERGY SCENARIOS - What is a “good” energy scenario (or not) for use in decision making for climate change mitigation?

Why the foundations of energy models matter in developing effective scenarios 
Claire Copeland

Robust Technology Portfolios for Electric Power Generation with Global CO2 Reductions 
Donald Hanson

Perspectives of informed citizen panel on low-carbon electricity scenarios in Switzerland
Evelina Trutnevyte

Pessimistic and optimistic perspectives on substitution of natural for man-made capital in energy scenarios
Simon Davidsson

Capturing key energy and emission trends in CGE modelling: state of the art and remaining challenges
Taran Fæhn

The vulnerability of Uganda’s electricity sector to climate change - an integrated systems analysis
Eunice Ramos

HIGH END SCENARIOS: Downscaling and enriching the RCP-SSP scenario framework as a basis for co-creating integrated and transformative solutions to high-end climate change

Ethylene supply in a fluid context: Implications of shale gas and climate change
Gillian Foster

Quantitative Assessment of Rainfall under CMIP5 RCP Scenarios in a Data Scarce Arid Region of Pakistan
Kamal Ahmed

ASSESSMENT - Scientific assessment of scenario-based research

Concrete Utopianism. Discovering the philosophy of the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways
Gillian Foster

Characteristics of a Low-BECCS Pathway and Model Discrepancies
Jun Wong 

Cross-scale Shared Socio-economic Pathways: an application to Central Asia and European case studies
Simona Pedde

PARALLEL BREAKOUT SESSION #2

SSPs - II  - Improving the SSPs to assess the Sustainable Development Goals

Potential Positive Feedback from Space Technology to influence SSPs on the way to Realize SDGs: An Example of SDG #4 in South Asian Context (Kavya Kamepalli)


SSPs IN ECONOMIC MODELS - SHAPING THE SSP STORYLINES IN ECONOMY-WIDE MODELS

Should ‘degrowth’ narratives be considered alongside the SSPs? (James Ward) 

The Real Wealth of Nations: Quantifying environmental sustainability (or lack thereof ) for the world's nations (Paul Sutton) 

Enhanced GEMTEE (General Equilibrium Model for Taiwan Economy and Environment) for IAM Framework-An Integrated Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model and Database for Appraising Policies toward Sustainable Development (Shihhsun Hsu)


OVERSHOOT: OVERSHOOT SCENARIOS FOR PARIS AGREEMENT TEMPERATURE TARGETS: AN INTERDISCIPLINARY PERSPECTIVE

Assessing the threats and opportunities of 1.5 and 2 °C global warming on rainfall and temperature change over different states of India (Aradhana Yaduvanshi) 

Effect on the earth system of realizing 1.5 degree climate target by overshooting after reaching two degree level (Kaoru Tachiiri)


MIGRATION: Climate-induced migration: applications and enhancements of the SSP framework

Policy Responses to Future Scenario Development: Lessons from the Groundswell Project (Alex de Sherbinin) 

Economic Models of Climate-Induced Migration and Implications for Scenario Development (Yuzhou Shen) 

Flood-induced population displacement in the world: Effect of social and environmental drivers (Kaoru Kakinuma)


FINANCE: USE OF SCENARIOS FOR ASSESSING CLIMATE-RELATED FINANCIAL RISK AND OPPORTUNITY

None

IPBES: IDENTIFYING AND BUILDING ON SYNERGIES ACROSS INTERNATIONAL SCENARIO COMMUNITIES: EXAMPLES FROM THE Intergovernmental Panel on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES)

Assessing Socio Economic Factors Influencing Adoption of Conservation Agriculture Among Smallholder Farmers in Moroto district, Uganda (Anthony Esabu) 

Coupling ocean and coastal systems  for Climate, Ocean  and  bio-economic Security : Evaluating the Impacts of Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal, and Environmental Governance  for Future Ocean (Paruthummootil Jacob Philip)


PARALLEL BREAKOUT SESSION #3


MULTISCALE - I: Extending the SSPs across space and time: Multi-scale scenario development practices - (Session I: Advances in Methods Development)

Parsimonious models to project the influence of United States freight transportation (Tami Bond)


EXTREMES: Scenarios for climate extremes and their socio-economic impacts

Searching for tipping points and failure points in ultra-low resolution coupled Earth System simulations (Erika L. Roesler)


SCENARIOS AS SERVICE

Socioeconomic Pathways and their sectoral implications. (Nicolas Siorak) 

Model scenario exploration in local energy transitions (Sujeetha Selvakkumara)


URBAN: Urban futures under the new scenario framework

Climate Benefits of a 100% renewable energy system (Hao Yin) 

Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways at the city scale: contrasted urban futures for assessing vulnerability to extreme heat in Boston (Jayne Poulsen) 

Energy Futures of Informal Settlements: a case study in a Ugandan municipality (Penlope Yaguma)

 Analysing scenarios across scales to project population and urban land-use in Europe to 2100 (Simona Pedde)


INFRASTRUCTURE: Using a scenario approach to reshape the debate on global infrastructure investment needs

A model-based scenario study of the vulnerability of multi-modal freight transport in Bangladesh to flooding (Jan Kwakkel)


OCEANS: Scenarios for the Future Ocean

What are potential future states of the Baltic Sea food web? (Maciej T. Tomczak)

Developing eco-viability scenarios for fisheries and marine biodiversity in a changing environment. (Oliver Thebaud) 

Connectivity between Coastal Ecosystems and ABNJ, finding Common Grounds of Governance through Regional Stakeholders’ involvement: The Role of the STRONG HIGH Seas Project in the Southeast Atlantic (Sheila Kong Mukwele)


PARALLEL BREAKOUT SESSION #4


MULTISCALE - II: Extending the SSPs across space and time: Multi-scale scenario development practices (SESSION II: …)

*NEED TO BE ADDED, OR ARE THESE THE SAME AS SESSION 1?


GEOENGINEERING: Being Cognizant of the Framing of Solar Geoengineering in Scenario Design

IMPACT COSTS: Cost of climate change impact and the use of scenarios

NONE


SCENARIOS IN AR6: Use of scenarios in IPCC’s 6th assessment cycle (AR6)

Role and use of scenarios in the synthesis of Special Reports and Working Group reports (Malte Meinshausen) 

TRANSITION DYNAMICS: Socio-technical transition dynamics in scenarios for climate change mitigation and sustainable development: where next?

NONE


INEQUALITY: Inequality and poverty, projections and distributional consequences for climate

Implications of Rohingya influx in Bangladesh to shared socioeconomic pathways (Azmal Hossan)

Energy Intensity - the past, the future, and the role of institutions (Johannes Emmerling)

Spatial, Resource and Income Constraints on Residential Solid-Fuel Transitions (Tami Bond)



PARALLEL BREAKOUT SESSION #5


IMPACTS - I: Use of the SSP-RCP scenario framework in climate impact analysis, including avoided impacts - I

Scenarios of future land use and climate change in California and the impacts on ecosystem carbon balance (Benjamin Sleeter)


Assessing the health impacts of extreme temperature and air pollution for alternate scenarios of  climate adaptation in Norway (Shilpa Rao)


CORDEX: Climate change scenarios in CORDEX domains

Economic growth at the state level in Mexico and long-term climate scenarios (Armando Sanchez-Vargas) 

Plausible futures for Mexico City’s environmental conditions (Boris Graizbord) 

The rainy season over the Peruvian Southeastern Highlands, and its future projections on CORDEX regional climate models (Christian Wilder Barreto Schuler) 

CMIP5 climate change hydroclimatic projections for Central America (Hugo Hidalgo) 

High-resolution Climate Change  Projection of Indian Summer Monsoon: A Dynamical Downscaling Approach (Jayasankar C B) 

Current and Future Evaluation of Temperature and Precipitation  in Eastern Terai Region, Nepal  (Madan Sigdel) 

Temperature projections based on Statistical Downscaling in the central Andes of Argentina (Matilde Rusticucci) 

Intercomparison of regional climate models and climatic trends in the CORDEX-CAM (Central America, Caribbean and Mexico) domain (Tereza Cavazos)


TRACKING PROGRESS: Scenarios for tracking progress in international climate policy

Choice of N2O emission factors for nitrogen application in Brazil: consequences for Paris Agreement targets and impacts on climate mitigation scenarios (Alexandre Koberle) 

Macroeconomic assessment of India’s development and mitigation pathways (Dipti Gupta) 

Embodied emissions in French trade under national climate constraints for a low carbon society (Gaëlle Le Treut)  

Aligning development and stringent climate objective - Lessons from a second best modelling framework (Meriem Hamdi-Cherif) 

The mid-term outlooks of ambitious global climate action and internal reforms on Saudi Arabia (Salaheddine Soummane) 



TAKING STOCK: Developing the SSPs: Taking Stock of Successes, Areas to Improve for the Future

NONE


GOVERNANCE: Socio-economic futures and governance scenarios

Returning the Earth to Mankind and Mankind to Earth: an Ecosystemic Approach to Advocacy, Public Policies, Research and Teaching Programmes (André Francisco Pilon)

Abstract paper on Adapting agriculture to climate change and socioeconomic development in Bangladesh (Anowar Hossen)

Exploring the role of individual and collective psychology on governance in future scenarios (Ian Hughes) 

Developing Strategic Partnerships for Climate Change and Ocean Acidification Adaption through Regional Ocean Governance in the Gulf of Guinea: A Critical Overview (Sheila Kong Mukwele)

SUBNATIONAL: Sub-national scenarios for integrated modeling and analyses

How sub-national actors can contribute to the Paris Agreement? (Fabio Sferra) 

Assessing IAV climate change-related hazards in coastal West Africa: Challenges for research in a context of rapid socio-economic transformation: The case of Senegal (Hamdou Wane) 

Climate Adaptation Scenarios for the Hydraulic Fracturing Industry in Texas (Mariya Absar) 

Scenario Based Assessment of Land Use change in Huay Luang River Basin, Thailand (Sathaporn Monprapussorn) 

Downscaling a global land use allocation model for the quantification of national SSPs (Wenchao Wu) 



PARALLEL BREAKOUT SESSION #6


IMPACTS- II: Use of the SSP-RCP scenario framework in climate impact analysis, including avoided impacts - II

Scenarios of future land use and climate change in California and the impacts on ecosystem carbon balance (Benjamin Sleeter) 

Assessing the health impacts of extreme temperature and air pollution for alternate scenarios of  climate adaptation in Norway (Shilpa Rao)

VULNERABILITY: SCENARIOS FOR ASSESSING human vulnerability to extreme events and climate change at the local and regional level

COMMUNICATION: Scenario communication, co-production and visualization

A stochastic framework for assessing local impacts of climate change on subsistence farming communities in rural Mali (Andrew Verdin) 

An assessment of the application of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Scenarios in studies associated with climate change adaptation planning and decision-making (Salvi Asefi-Najafabady) 


SLCFs: The role of short-lived climate forcers in future scenarios

electrification: Renewable-based electrification: how can we improve scenarios for clean energy transition?

Future fuels in the shipping sector assuming stringent CO2 reduction scenarios: Results from the global energy transition (GET) model (Maria Grahn)



SSp extensions: Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability research

Spatially explicit urbanization projections for the European Mediterranean coastal region (Claudia Wolff) 

Enhancing salience, legitimacy and credibility of downscaled climate change scenarios through the use of ‘key nodes of decision making’: insights from an application in Aotearoa-New Zealand (Nicholas Cradock-Henry)