Poster presentations listed by session

Parallel Sessions 1

GOOD ENERGY SCENARIOS: WHAT IS A “GOOD” ENERGY SCENARIO (OR NOT) FOR USE IN DECISION MAKING FOR CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION?

Why the foundations of energy models matter in developing effective scenarios 
Claire Copeland, University of Sussex

Robust Technology Portfolios for Electric Power Generation with Global CO2 Reductions 
Donald Hanson, Argonne National Laboratory

Perspectives of informed citizen panel on low-carbon electricity scenarios in Switzerland
Evelina Trutnevyte, University of Geneva, Switzerland

Pessimistic and optimistic perspectives on substitution of natural for man-made capital in energy scenarios
Simon Davidsson Kurland, Chalmers University of Technology

Capturing key energy and emission trends in CGE modelling: state of the art and remaining challenges
Taran Fæh, Statistics Norway, Research Department, Section for Energy and Environmental Economics

The vulnerability of Uganda’s electricity sector to climate change - an integrated systems analysis
Eunice Ramos, KTH Royal Institute of Technology

HIGH END SCENARIOS: DOWNSCALING AND ENRICHING THE RCP-SSP SCENARIO FRAMEWORK AS A BASIS FOR CO-CREATING INTEGRATED AND TRANSFORMATIVE SOLUTIONS TO HIGH-END CLIMATE CHANGE

Ethylene supply in a fluid context: Implications of shale gas and climate change
Gillian Foster, Vienna University of Economics and Business

Quantitative Assessment of Rainfall under CMIP5 RCP Scenarios in a Data Scarce Arid Region of Pakistan
Kamal Ahmed, Lasbela University of Agriculture Water and Marine Sciences, Pakistan

SCENARIOS AND ASSESSMENT - SCIENTIFIC ASSESSMENT OF SCENARIO-BASED RESEARCH

Concrete Utopianism. Discovering the philosophy of the Shared Socio-Economic Pathways
Gillian Foster, Vienna University of Economics and Business

Characteristics of a Low-BECCS Pathway and Model Discrepancies
Jun Wong, University of California, Berkeley

Parallel Sessions 2

SSPS IN ECONOMIC MODELS - SHAPING THE SSP STORYLINES IN ECONOMY-WIDE MODELS

Should ‘degrowth’ narratives be considered alongside the SSPs?
James Ward, University of South Australia

The Real Wealth of Nations: Quantifying environmental sustainability (or lack thereof ) for the world's nations
Paul Sutton, University of Denver

Enhanced GEMTEE (General Equilibrium Model for Taiwan Economy and Environment) for IAM Framework-An Integrated Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model and Database for Appraising Policies toward Sustainable Development
Shihhsun Hsu, National Taiwan University

OVERSHOOT: OVERSHOOT SCENARIOS FOR PARIS AGREEMENT TEMPERATURE TARGETS: AN INTERDISCIPLINARY PERSPECTIVE

Assessing the threats and opportunities of 1.5 and 2 °C global warming on rainfall and temperature change over different states of India 
Aradhana Yaduvanshi, Watershed Organisation Trust, India

Effect on the earth system of realizing 1.5 degree climate target by overshooting after reaching two degree level 
Kaoru Tachiiri, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology

MIGRATION: CLIMATE-INDUCED MIGRATION: APPLICATIONS AND ENHANCEMENTS OF THE SSP FRAMEWORK

Policy Responses to Future Scenario Development: Lessons from the Groundswell Project
Alex de Sherbinin, Center for International Earth Science Information Network

Economic Models of Climate-Induced Migration and Implications for Scenario Development
Yuzhou Shen, Colorado School of Mines

Flood-induced population displacement in the world: Effect of social and environmental drivers
Kaoru Kakinuma, Tohoku University

BIODIVERSITY: IDENTIFYING AND BUILDING ON SYNERGIES ACROSS INTERNATIONAL SCENARIO COMMUNITIES: EXAMPLES FROM THE INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON BIODIVERSITY AND ECOSYSTEM SERVICES (IPBES)

Assessing Socio Economic Factors Influencing Adoption of Conservation Agriculture Among Smallholder Farmers in Moroto district, Uganda
Anthony Esabu, Farm Africa

Coupling ocean and coastal systems  for Climate, Ocean  and  bio-economic Security : Evaluating the Impacts of Political, Economic, Social, Technological, Legal, and Environmental Governance  for Future Ocean
Paruthummootil Jacob Philip, Institute For Sustainable Development and Research

Parallel Sessions 3

MULTISCALE: EXTENDING THE SSPS ACROSS SPACE AND TIME: MULTI-SCALE SCENARIO DEVELOPMENT PRACTICES - (SESSION I: ADVANCES IN METHODS DEVELOPMENT)

Parsimonious models to project the influence of United States freight transportation
Tami Bond, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

EXTREMES: SCENARIOS FOR CLIMATE EXTREMES AND THEIR SOCIO-ECONOMIC IMPACTS

Searching for tipping points and failure points in ultra-low resolution coupled Earth System simulations
Erika L. Roesler, Sandia National Laboratories (SNL)

SCENARIOS AS SERVICE

Socioeconomic Pathways and their sectoral implications
Nicolas Siorak, Business Alliance for Climate Resilience

Model scenario exploration in local energy transitions
Sujeetha Selvakkumara, Chalmers University of Technology

URBAN: URBAN FUTURES UNDER THE NEW SCENARIO FRAMEWORK

Climate Benefits of a 100% renewable energy system
Hao Yin, Center for Earth System Science, Tsinghua University

INFRASTRUCTURE: USING A SCENARIO APPROACH TO RESHAPE THE DEBATE ON GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT NEEDS

A model-based scenario study of the vulnerability of multi-modal freight transport in Bangladesh to flooding
Jan Kwakkel, Delft University of Technology

OCEANS: SCENARIOS FOR THE FUTURE OCEAN

What are potential future states of the Baltic Sea food web?
Maciej T. Tomczak, Stockholm University, Baltic Sea Centre

Developing eco-viability scenarios for fisheries and marine biodiversity in a changing environment
Oliver Thebaud, L'Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer

Connectivity between Coastal Ecosystems and ABNJ, finding Common Grounds of Governance through Regional Stakeholders’ involvement: The Role of the STRONG High Seas Project in the Southeast Atlantic
Sheila Kong Mukwele, The Ministry of External Relations of Cameroon

Parallel Sessions 4

SCENARIOS IN IPCC: USE OF SCENARIOS IN IPCC’S 6TH ASSESSMENT CYCLE (AR6)

Role and use of scenarios in the synthesis of Special Reports and Working Group reports
Malte Meinshausen, Climate and Energy College, The University of Melbourne

TRANSITION DYNAMICS: SOCIO-TECHNICAL TRANSITION DYNAMICS IN SCENARIOS FOR CLIMATE CHANGE MITIGATION AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT: WHERE NEXT?

Representing vehicle-technological opportunities in integrated energy modeling
Paul Wolfram, Yale University

INEQUALITY: INEQUALITY AND POVERTY, PROJECTIONS AND DISTRIBUTIONAL CONSEQUENCES FOR CLIMATE

Implications of Rohingya influx in Bangladesh to shared socioeconomic pathways
Azmal Hossan, Colorado State University

Energy Intensity - the past, the future, and the role of institutions
Johannes Emmerling, Resources for the Future (RFF), Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC)

Spatial, Resource and Income Constraints on Residential Solid-Fuel Transitions
Tami Bond, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign

Parallel Sessions 5

IMPACTS : USE OF THE SSP-RCP SCENARIO FRAMEWORK IN CLIMATE IMPACT ANALYSIS, INCLUDING AVOIDED IMPACTS - I

Scenarios of future land use and climate change in California and the impacts on ecosystem carbon balance
Benjamin Sleeter, U.S. Geological Survey

Mortality projections for scenarios of temperature and air pollution in Norway
Shilpa Rao, Norwegian Institute of Public Health

REGIONAL CLIMATE: CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIOS IN CORDEX DOMAINS

Economic growth at the state level in Mexico and long-term climate scenarios
Armando Sanchez-Vargas, National Autonomous University of Mexico

The rainy season over the Peruvian Southeastern Highlands, and its future projections on CORDEX regional climate models
Christian Wilder Barreto Schuler, National Service for Meteorology 

CMIP5 climate change hydroclimatic projections for Central America
Hugo Hidalgo, University of Costa Rica

High-resolution Climate Change  Projection of Indian Summer Monsoon: A Dynamical Downscaling Approach
Jayasankar C B, Academy of Scientific and Innovative Research (AcSIR)

Current and Future Evaluation of Temperature and Precipitation in Eastern Terai Region, Nepal 
Madan Sigdel, Tribhuvan University, Central Department of Hydrology and Meteorology

Intercomparison of regional climate models and climatic trends in the CORDEX-CAM (Central America, Caribbean and Mexico) domain
Tereza Cavazos, Department of Physical Oceanography

TRACKING PROGRESS: SCENARIOS FOR TRACKING PROGRESS IN INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE POLICY

Choice of N2O emission factors for nitrogen application in Brazil: consequences for Paris Agreement targets and impacts on climate mitigation scenarios
Alexandre Koberle, The Alberto Luiz Coimbra Institute for Graduate Studies and Research in Engineering

Macroeconomic assessment of India’s development and mitigation pathways
Dipti Gupta, Indian Institute of Management Ahmedabad

Embodied emissions in French trade under national climate constraints for a low carbon society
Gaëlle Le Treut, Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement (CIRED)

Aligning development and stringent climate objective - Lessons from a second best modelling framework
Meriem Hamdi-Cherif, Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement (CIRED)

The mid-term outlooks of ambitious global climate action and internal reforms on Saudi Arabia
Salaheddine Soummane, Centre International de Recherche sur l'Environnement et le Développement (CIRED)

GOVERNANCE: SOCIO-ECONOMIC FUTURES AND GOVERNANCE SCENARIOS

Returning the Earth to Mankind and Mankind to Earth: an Ecosystemic Approach to Advocacy, Public Policies, Research and Teaching Programmes
André Francisco Pilon, University of São Paulo, International Academy of Science, Health & Ecology

Abstract paper on Adapting agriculture to climate change and socioeconomic development in Bangladesh
Anowar Hossen, Bangladesh Meteorological Department (BMD)

Exploring the role of individual and collective psychology on governance in future scenarios
Ian Hughes, Marine and Renewable Energy Ireland Centre

Developing Strategic Partnerships for Climate Change and Ocean Acidification Adaption through Regional Ocean Governance in the Gulf of Guinea: A Critical Overview
Sheila Kong Mukwele, The Ministry of External Relations of Cameroon

SUBNATIONAL: SUB-NATIONAL SCENARIOS FOR INTEGRATED MODELING AND ANALYSES

How sub-national actors can contribute to the Paris Agreement
Fabio Sferra, Climate Analytics

Assessing IAV climate change-related hazards in coastal West Africa: Challenges for research in a context of rapid socio-economic transformation: The case of Senegal
Hamdou Wane, Albida International LLC

Climate Adaptation Scenarios for the Hydraulic Fracturing Industry in Texas
Mariya Absar, Eastern Research Group, Inc. (ERG)

Scenario Based Assessment of Land Use change in Huay Luang River Basin, Thailand
Sathaporn Monprapussorn, Srinakharinwirot University

Downscaling a global land use allocation model for the quantification of national SSPs
Wenchao Wu, National Institute for Environmental Studies

Parallel Sessions 6

VULNERABILITY: SCENARIOS FOR ASSESSING HUMAN VULNERABILITY TO EXTREME EVENTS AND CLIMATE CHANGE AT THE LOCAL AND REGIONAL LEVEL

A stochastic framework for assessing local impacts of climate change on subsistence farming communities in rural Mali
Andrew Verdin, University of Minnesota

An assessment of the application of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway Scenarios in studies associated with climate change adaptation planning and decision-making
Salvi Asefi-Najafabady, University of Virginia

COMMUNICATION: SCENARIO COMMUNICATION, CO-PRODUCTION AND VISUALIZATION

Climate change information  and extreme weather events communication
Ayansina Ayanlade, Obafemi Awolowo University, Ile-Ife, Nigeria    

Spaces, places and possibilities: Using community participation, systems modelling and visualization for integrated planning and scenario exploration
Robert Newell, Royal Roads University    

SHORT-LIVED FORCERS: THE ROLE OF SHORT-LIVED CLIMATE FORCERS IN FUTURE SCENARIOS

Improving future model estimates of air quality and its impacts throughout Africa by incorporating SSPs with field-measured emissions factors and activity data
Forrest Lacey, National Center for Atmospheric Research    

Decadal-scale attribution of ozone and methane radiative forcing:implications for SLCP scenarios
Kevin Bowman, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology

Short-lived climate forcers from vegetation changes due to projected large-scale BECCS deployment
Marianne Tronstad Lund, Center for International Climate Research

ELECTRIFICATION: RENEWABLE-BASED ELECTRIFICATION: HOW CAN WE IMPROVE SCENARIOS FOR CLEAN ENERGY TRANSITION?

Future fuels in the shipping sector assuming stringent CO2 reduction scenarios: Results from the global energy transition (GET) model
Maria Grahn, Chalmers University of Technology

SSP EXTENSIONS: EXTENDING THE SHARED SOCIOECONOMIC PATHWAYS FOR IMPACTS, ADAPTATION, AND VULNERABILITY RESEARCH

Spatially explicit urbanization projections for the European Mediterranean coastal region
Claudia Wolff, University of Kiel

Enhancing salience, legitimacy and credibility of downscaled climate change scenarios through the use of ‘key nodes of decision making’: insights from an application in Aotearoa-New Zealand
Nicholas Cradock-Henry, Manaaki Whenua - Landcare Research

Other Posters (no oral session):

RESULTS FROM CMIP6 SCENARIO MIP AND LOTHER MIPs BUILDING ON ITS EXPERIMENTS

First Results from CESM and other models participating in CMIP6 ScenarioMIP
Claudia Tebaldi, National Center for Atmospheric Research

Preliminary ScenarioMIP results at NIMS/KMA
Lim Yoon-Jim, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences/Korea Meteorological Administration

Global emissions pathways under different socioeconomic scenarios for use in CMIP6: harmonized regional and country-level emissions trajectories through the end of the century produced in ScenarioMIP
Matthew Gidden, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis