AGENDA

Full program (03.10.19)

Parallel sessions include six simultaneous sessions; click on sessions below to see lists of talks and speakers in each session.
Guidelines for presenters

Sunday, March 10        

2:30 PM-4:00 PM (Maglione Hall, Sie Complex 5025)
Tutorial on the SSPs and scenarios framework     

Monday, March 11   

9:00 AM-10:15 AM  (Davis Auditorium, Sturm Classroom Building)     
Welcome and introduction
    Brian O'Neill, University of Denver
Pardis Mahdavi, Acting Dean, Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver
Corinne Lengsfeld, Vice Provost for Research and Graduate Education, University of Denver
Overview of status of SSP-RCP and other scenario frameworks
   Kris Ebi, University of Washington
Goals of the Scenarios Forum
   Brian O'Neill, University of Denver

10:15 AM-10:45 AM (Davis Auditorium Lobby)      
Break

10:45 AM-12:00 PM (Davis Auditorium, Sturm Classroom Building)  
The role of scenarios in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and other global assessment
Hoesung Lee, Chair, IPCC
(remotely): Valerie Masson-Delmotte, Hans-Otto Poertner, Jim Skea, IPCC Co-Chairs of Working Groups I, II, and III
Detlef van Vuuren, PBL

12:15 PM-1:30 PM (Ballroom, Joy Burns Center)
Lunch

1:45 PM-3:30 PM (Sie International Relations Complex & Joy Burns Center)         
Parallel sessions 1

 

SDGs-I Improving the SSPs to assess the Sustainable Development Goals - I (Sie 5025 Maglione Hall)
GOOD ENERGY SCENARIOS What is a “good” energy scenario (or not) for use in decision making for climate change mitigation? (Sie 1020)
HIGH END SCENARIOS Downscaling and enriching the RCP-SSP scenario framework as a basis for co-creating integrated and transformative solutions to high-end climate change (Sie 1150)
DEMOGRAPHICS Deconstructing demographic futures: population dynamics in the Shared-Socioeconomic Pathways (JBC 229)
NITROGEN New nitrogen scenarios using the SSPs (JBC 231)
SCENARIOS AND ASSESSMENT Scientific assessment of scenario-based research (JBC 117)

3:30 PM-4:00 PM (Sie Complex Fifth Floor Lobby + Joy Burns Center Atrium)           
Break

4:00 PM-5:45 PM (Sie International Relations Complex & Joy Burns Center)            
Parallel sessions 2

 

SDGS-II Improving the SSPs to assess the Sustainable Development Goals - II (Sie 5025)
SSPs IN ECONOMIC MODELS Shaping the SSP storylines in economy-wide models (Sie 1020)
OVERSHOOT Overshoot scenarios for Paris Agreement temperature targets: an interdisciplinary perspective (Sie 1150)
MIGRATION Climate-induced migration: applications and enhancements of the SSP framework (JBC 229)
FINANCE Use of scenarios for assessing climate-related financial risk and opportunity (JBC 231)
BIODIVERSITY Identifying and building on synergies across international scenario communities: examples from the Intergovernmental Panel on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) (JBC 117)

5:45 PM-6:15 PM
Break and walk to dinner

6:15 PM-8:15 PM  (Cable Center)         
Conference dinner
Dinner remarks:
Scenarios for National Security Decision Making: From the Cold War to the Climate Era
Sherri Goodman, Senior Fellow, Woodrow Wilson International Center

Tuesday, March 12               

9:00 AM-10:30 AM (Davis Auditorium, Sturm Classroom Building)          
Plenary: Frontier topics in scenario research
Plenary: Frontier topics in scenario research
Adaptation, Ben Preston, RAND
Integrating changes in extreme events in scenario development, Sonia Seneviratne, ETH Zurich
    Long-term scenario for resilience and risk assessments, Stephane Hallegatte, World Bank

10:30 AM-11:00 AM   
Break and walk to sessions

11:00 AM-12:45 PM (Sie International Relations Complex & Joy Burns Center)      
Parallel sessions 3

 

MULTISCALE-I Extending the SSPs across space and time: Multi-scale scenario development practices (Session I: Advances in methods development) (Sie 5025)
EXTREMES Scenarios for climate extremes and their socio-economic impacts (Sie 1020)
SCENARIOS AS SERVICE Using a scenario approach to reshape the debate on global infrastructure investment needs Scenarios as service (Sie 1150)
URBAN Urban futures under the new scenario framework (JBC 229)
INFRASTRUCTURE Using a scenario approach to reshape the debate on global infrastructure investment needs (JBC 231)
OCEANS Scenarios for the Future Ocean (JBC 117)

1:00 PM-2:15 PM (Joy Burns Center Ballroom)       
Lunch

2:30 PM-4:15 PM (Sie International Relations Complex & Joy Burns Center)            
Parallel sessions 4

 

MULTISCALE-II Extending the SSPs across space and time: Multi-scale scenario development practice (Session II: Exploring geographic contexts) (Sie 5025)
GEOENGINERING Being Cognizant of the Framing of Solar Geoengineering in Scenario Design (Sie 1020)
IMPACT COSTS Cost of climate change impact and the use of scenarios (Sie 1150)
SCENARIOS IN IPCC Use of scenarios in IPCC’s 6th assessment cycle (AR6) (JBC 229)
TRANSITION DYNAMICS Socio-technical transition dynamics in scenarios for climate change mitigation and sustainable development: where next? (JBC 231)
INEQUALITY Inequality and poverty, projections and distributional consequences for climate (JBC 117)

4:15 PM-4:45 PM (Sie Complex Fifth Floor Lobby + Joy Burns Center Atrium)         
Break

4:45 PM-6:30 PM (Sie International Relations Complex & Joy Burns Center)       
Parallel sessions 5

 

IMPACTS-I Use of the SSP-RCP scenario framework in climate impact analysis, including avoided impacts - I (Sie 5025)
REGIONAL CLIMATE Climate change scenarios in CORDEX domains (Sie 1020)
TRACKING PROGRESS Scenarios for tracking progress in international climate policy (Sie 1150)
TAKING STOCK Developing the SSPs: Taking Stock of Successes, Areas to Improve for the Future (JBC 229)
GOVERNANCE Socio-economic futures and governance scenarios (JBC 231)
SUBNATIONAL Sub-national scenarios for integrated modeling and analyses (JBC 117)

6:45 PM-8:45 PM (Cable Center)     
Reception and poster session

Wednesday, March 13                            

9:00 AM-10:45 AM (Sie International Relations Complex & Joy Burns Center)           
Parallel sessions 6

 

IMPACTS-II Use of the SSP-RCP scenario framework in climate impact analysis, including avoided impacts (Part II: Water and land) (Sie 5025)
VULNERABILITY Scenarios for assessing human vulnerability to extreme events and climate change at the local and regional level (Sie 1020)
COMMUNICATION Scenario communication, co-production and visualization (Sie 1150)
SHORT-LIVED FORCERS The role of short-lived climate forcers in future scenarios (JBC 229)
ELECTRIFICATION Renewable-based electrification: how can we improve scenarios for clean energy transition? (JBC 231)
SSP EXTENSIONS Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability research (JBC 117)

10:45 AM-11:15 AM       
Break and walk to plenary

11:15 AM-12:45 PM (Cable Center)     
Plenary session: Key meeting outcomes, plans for next steps in the scenario process

12:45 PM-2:15 PM (Cable Center)      
Lunch
(boxed lunches available to take away or eat on-site)

2:15 PM                     
Forum adjourned

2:30 PM-4:00 PM (Room 1150 Sie Complex)
Post-Forum Information Session:
Frederick S. Pardee Center and the International Futures (IFs) Model
All are welcome to come and learn more about the Frederick S. Pardee Center and the International Futures(IFs) integrated assessment model.