DRAFT AGENDA

Details of schedule are subject to change, and more information will be posted as content is finalized. Parallel sessions include six simultaneous sessions; click on sessions below to see lists of talks and speakers in each session.

Program: schedule, sessions, abstracts (.pdf working draft)

Sunday, March 10        

2:30 PM-4:00 PM
Tutorial on the SSPs and scenarios framework                      

Monday, March 11   

9:00 AM-10:15 AM         
Welcome and introduction
    Pardis Mahdavi, Acting Dean, Korbel School of International Studies, University of Denver
Corinne Lengsfeld, Vice Provost for Research and Graduate Education, University of Denver
    Brian O'Neill, University of Denver
Overview of status of SSP-RCP and other scenario frameworks
   Kris Ebi, University of Washington
Goals of the Scenarios Forum
   Brian O'Neill, University of Denver

10:15 AM-10:45 AM       
Break

10:45 AM-12:00 PM       
The role of scenarios in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and other global assessment
Confirmed speakers:
Hoesung Lee, Chair, IPCC
(remotely): Valerie Masson-Delmotte, Hans-Otto Poertner, Jim Skea, IPCC Co-Chairs of Working Groups I, II, and III

12:15 PM-1:30 PM
Lunch

1:45 PM-3:30 PM          
Parallel sessions 1

 

SDGs-I Improving the SSPs to assess the Sustainable Development Goals - I
GOOD ENERGY SCENARIOS What is a “good” energy scenario (or not) for use in decision making for climate change mitigation?
HIGH END SCENARIOS Downscaling and enriching the RCP-SSP scenario framework as a basis for co-creating integrated and transformative solutions to high-end climate change
DEMOGRAPHICS Deconstructing demographic futures: population dynamics in the Shared-Socioeconomic Pathways
NITROGEN New nitrogen scenarios using the SSPs
SCENARIOS AND ASSESSMENT Scientific assessment of scenario-based research

3:30 PM-4:00 PM            
Break

4:00 PM-5:45 PM            
Parallel sessions 2

 

SDGS-II Improving the SSPs to assess the Sustainable Development Goals - II
SSPs IN ECONOMIC MODELS Shaping the SSP storylines in economy-wide models
OVERSHOOT Overshoot scenarios for Paris Agreement temperature targets: an interdisciplinary perspective
MIGRATION Climate-induced migration: applications and enhancements of the SSP framework
FINANCE Use of scenarios for assessing climate-related financial risk and opportunity
BIODIVERSITY Identifying and building on synergies across international scenario communities: examples from the Intergovernmental Panel on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES)

6:15 PM-8:15 PM           
Conference dinner
Dinner remarks:
Scenarios for National Security Decision Making: From the Cold War to the Climate Era
Sherri Goodman, Senior Fellow, Woodrow Wilson International Center

Tuesday, March 12               

9:00 AM-10:30 AM         
Plenary: Frontier topics in scenario research
Confirmed speakers:
Sonia Seneviratne, ETH Zurich
Ben Preston, RAND
Stephane Hallegatte, World Bank

10:30 AM-11:00 AM       
Break

11:00 AM-12:45 PM       
Parallel sessions 3

 

MULTISCALE-I Extending the SSPs across space and time: Multi-scale scenario development practices (Session I: Advances in methods development)
EXTREMES Scenarios for climate extremes and their socio-economic impacts
SCENARIOS AS SERVICE Using a scenario approach to reshape the debate on global infrastructure investment needs Scenarios as service
URBAN Urban futures under the new scenario framework
INFRASTRUCTURE Using a scenario approach to reshape the debate on global infrastructure investment needs
OCEANS Scenarios for the Future Ocean

1:00 PM-2:15 PM            
Lunch

2:30 PM-4:15 PM            
Parallel sessions 4

 

MULTISCALE-II Extending the SSPs across space and time: Multi-scale scenario development practice (Session II: Exploring geographic contexts)
GEOENGINERING Being Cognizant of the Framing of Solar Geoengineering in Scenario Design
IMPACT COSTS Cost of climate change impact and the use of scenarios
SCENARIOS IN IPCC Use of scenarios in IPCC’s 6th assessment cycle (AR6)
TRANSITION DYNAMICS Socio-technical transition dynamics in scenarios for climate change mitigation and sustainable development: where next?
INEQUALITY Inequality and poverty, projections and distributional consequences for climate

4:15 PM-4:45 PM            
Break

4:45 PM-6:30 PM            
Parallel sessions 5

 

IMPACTS-I Use of the SSP-RCP scenario framework in climate impact analysis, including avoided impacts - I
REGIONAL CLIMATE Climate change scenarios in CORDEX domains
GOVERNANCE Socio-economic futures and governance scenarios
SUBNATIONAL Sub-national scenarios for integrated modeling and analyses
TAKING STOCK Developing the SSPs: Taking Stock of Successes, Areas to Improve for the Future
TRACKING PROGRESS Scenarios for tracking progress in international climate policy

6:45 PM-8:45 PM            
Reception and poster session

 
 

Wednesday, March 13                            

9:00 AM-10:45 AM         
Parallel sessions 6

 

IMPACTS-II Use of the SSP-RCP scenario framework in climate impact analysis, including avoided impacts (Part II: Water and land)
VULNERABILITY Scenarios for assessing human vulnerability to extreme events and climate change at the local and regional level
COMMUNICATION Scenario communication, co-production and visualization
SHORT-LIVED FORCERS The role of short-lived climate forcers in future scenarios
ELECTRIFICATION Renewable-based electrification: how can we improve scenarios for clean energy transition?
SSP EXTENSIONS Extending the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability research

10:45 AM-11:15 AM       
Break

11:15 AM-12:45 PM       
Plenary session: Key meeting outcomes, plans for next steps in the scenario process

12:45 PM-2:15 PM         
Lunch (boxed lunches available to take away or eat on-site)

2:15 PM                     
Forum adjourned