Improving the SSPs to assess the Sustainable Development Goals - PART I

Organizers: Keywan Riahi (IIASA), Detlef van Vuuren (PBL)


MONDAY - Maglione Hall (Sie Complex Fifth Floor)

1:45 PM-2:00 PM
Transformative Pathways towards sustainable and resilient societies in 2030 and beyond – Experiences of The World in 2050 (TWI2050)
Caroline Zimm, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

2:00 PM-2:15 PM
Pursuing the SDGs: Integrated Scenario Analysis
Barry Hughes, Frederick S. Pardee Center for International Futures, Josef Korbel School of International Studies

2:15 PM-2:30 PM
Implications of the Paris agreement for achieving the Sustainable Development Goals under different socio-economic development futures
Keywan Riahi, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis

2:30 PM-2:45 PM
Future Global Air Quality indices under different socioeconomic and climate assumptions
Laurent Drouet, European Institute on Economics and the Environment

2:45 PM-3:00 PM
SDGs under the climate change threat: an impact assessment in the agricultural sector
Lorenza Campagnolo, Università Ca' Foscari

3:00 PM-3:30 PM

Question: How can we improve the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways for the assessment of progress on the Sustainable Development Goals?

The SDGs are a broad set of goals that are set to develop the world in a more sustainable direction. They cover a wide variety of sustainable development related aspects, such as poverty, hunger, education, sanitation, energy, inequality, biodiversity and climate change. Scenarios are an ideal tool to assess long term progress on the SDGs and to analyze synergies and trade-offs between different SDGs. The SSPs have been developed for climate change related research and are not covering all aspects relevant for analyzing the future of the SDGs. Nevertheless, several studies, such as GEO6, TWI2050 and CD-LINKS, have started to apply the SSP framework for the assessment of SDGs. Hence, now would be a good time to look at the lessons learned from these studies, and to discuss how the SSP framework may be extended/improved to facilitate SDG related assessments.

In this hybrid session, we start with a panel that presents several examples of using the SSPs and other scenarios for SDG-related research. Two of the panelists will be invited, and will present an overview of current capabilities of modelling tools to represent local SGDs as well as related insights with respect to synergies and trade-offs of climate policies for the SDGs. We seek abstracts for additional panel presentations on 1) how to integrate adaptation and mitigation with the SDGs, 2) how to model possible benefits of achieving the SDG for the capacity to mitigate and to adapt to climate change, and 3) research highlighting the possible synergies and trade-offs between climate policies and SDGs, and particularly how to align the objectives in case of trade-offs. Furthermore we encourage submissions that illustrate new ways of how the SSP framework could be extended to cover the SDGs in more systematic way. After this panel, we open the floor to a discussion on how the SSPs can be improved to become maximally relevant for SDG related research.