Renewable-based electrification: how can we improve scenarios for clean energy transition?

Organizer: Dolf Gielen (International Renewable Energy Agency), Jeffrey Logan (National Renewable Energy Laboratory)


While clean electricity is one of the main enablers for a clean energy transition, representing transition paths is evolving territory to many of the models and scenarios due to their limited geospatial and temporary granularity to better account for the contribution of variable sources of energy (e.g. solar and wind) and associated technology solutions. Furthermore, technology innovation spurred around digitalization may potentially have profound impacts on the future of energy systems, and this compounds the uncertainty inherent in long-term scenarios.
Against this background, it is envisioned that this session would consist a panel discussion and open exchanges around the question – how long-term energy scenarios can better account for potentially transformational changes centred on renewable energy. Panellists will include two invited speakers plus additional speakers selected from submitted abstracts. Abstracts should describe proposed comments on approaches to dealing with the complexities of accurately representing the spatial and temporal details of renewable energy and larger energy transformation topics (such as variable renewable energy, sector coupling, demand-side flexibility, digitalization etc.) in their long-term energy scenarios, and where gaps need to be filled to inform global change in line with international climate and sustainability goals.
This proposed session will inform the Campaign on Long-term energy scenarios (LTES) for the clean energy transition, organized under the umbrella of Clean Energy Ministerial (CEM). The session will be co-organized by IRENA and NREL, the operating agent of the Campaign and a technical partner to the Campaign, respectively.